More Evidence that Pandering on Amnesty Doesn’t Win Republicans Hispanic Votes

Admittedly it’s early, and polls conducted in May 2014 about the 2016 elections are about as reliable as the weather forecast for November 2016. But Republicans – those running for president and those in Congress – would be wise to have a look at a new Zogby Analytics poll matching up Hillary Clinton and three of the Republican front-runners for 2016.

No Republican contender is more overtly supportive of amnesty for illegal aliens than former Florida Governor Jeb Bush. Neither his support for amnesty, nor his brother’s appeal among Hispanics (George W. Bush captured about 40 percent of the Hispanic vote in 2004) appears to impress Hispanic voters.

Clinton                 73.1%
Bush 12.9%

Kentucky Senator Rand Paul can’t seem to make up his mind about where he stands on amnesty. He voted against S.744, the Gang of Eight bill, but he continues to flirt with the idea of amnesty as a cornerstone of immigration reform. Being indecisive on immigration policy stands him somewhat more favorably than Jeb Bush among Hispanic voters, but still miles behind Clinton.

Clinton                 72.8%
Paul 18.3%

Apparently, if you are Republican, and you really want to impress Hispanic voters, your best bet is to create hellish traffic jams on the George Washington Bridge. Faring best among Hispanic voters is New Jersey Governor Chris Christie – relatively speaking. In spite of his open support for amnesty, Christie still trails Clinton by better than a 3-1 margin.

Clinton                 73.1%
Christie  22.5%

It is also worth noting that all three of the Republican contenders matched up against Mrs. Clinton – even those who support amnesty – poll worse among Hispanics than the party’s 2012 nominee, Mitt Romney, who registered about 27 percent of the Hispanic vote.

The take-away message to Republicans – whether they are running for the White House in 2016 or for other offices in 2014 – is that supporting amnesty and mass immigration is not the key to winning Hispanic votes. Hispanic voters, like the rest of the electorate, are focused on bread and butter issues and, if Republicans want their votes, they’d be far better off trying to convince Hispanics that they have a plan to fix the economy and get Americans of all racial or ethnic groups back to work.

About Author


Ira joined the Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR) in 1986 with experience as a journalist, professor of journalism, special assistant to Gov. Richard Lamm (Colorado), and press secretary of the House Defense Appropriations Subcommittee. His columns have appeared in National Review, LA Times, NY Times, Washington Post, Newsweek, and more. He is an experienced TV and radio commentator.


  1. avatar

    because it’s not about getting votes for republicans, it’s about progressives working to destroy america and replace it with a marxist dictatorship.

    • avatar

      Obviously, a real conservative, with the narrow mindedness that Newt Gingrich and others have called a neccessity, Ken gets 5 stars. Mr. Bundy, Mr. T. Nugent, S. Palin, these are the thinkers of the GOP. It’s about respect and treatment, and Hillary is wise to recognize it. She favors more fence along the border, than speaks out against those taking advantage of illegals. Pro-GOP U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Congressmen who want to hold down wages, are pro-amnesty. Hispanics knew Gov. Romney “invested in the Caymen Islands”, and was reported to have Swiss bank accounts. Cesar Chavez , the celebrated labor leader, was against illegal immigration, but also against taking advantage of them.

  2. avatar

    Have Any of You Stein Bloggers Watched Channel H2’s “America’s Book of Secrets”?

    They had a program on America’s 452 billionaires and how they influence a “shadow government” over our country. They control the media. I’m beginning to wonder if they give us vague and conflicting news, i.e., bad economic news seems to send the stock market up at times. The media mostly “infers” that most Americans want:

    1. Immigration Reform [amnesty]
    2. Immigration is a completely separate issue from the current staggerring economy [or the economy is always somehow on the mend, no matter how many decades the Total Labor Force stagnates with added population worker demnad anyway].
    3. See overpopulation/amnesty growth as good for America.

    I’m beginning to wonder if the MSM’s goal is to get us to accept whatever they tell us, even when it makes no sense and is “Mother Goose” tales. Perhaps that’s how a “shadow government” operates….with confusion and lies….

    • avatar
      arnlof sweigeir on

      U might be right…but u r part of the problem then… hating all IAS……

      • avatar


        I’m part of the problem?

        Some of my best friends are legal American Latino/Latina, guess what, they want the IAs out of America stealing their legal kids’ jobs too.

        Another thing Arnof, the billionaire MSM brainwashing for amnesty does not make it a law in America. Its called anarchy against our sovereign state. I hate organised crime, and IAs weren’t forced to break our immigration laws coming here…..they came here on their own dime, they can go back to their motherlands on their own dime too. Any criminal that breaks any American law has only themselves to blame BTW.

        • avatar

          softwarengineer you hardly grasp the issue of immigration… believe what you read…….travel and see it with your own eyes bad and good in the country…………………then you will learn what this country has been really about…………………you are such minuscule part of this Nation……………..

        • avatar

          Look at this…., Larry Kirschenman a Vietnam vet brutalized by the Border Patrol……the ACLU is making this man be respected…………..

          Like this man said he thought we never had to worry about being beaten up by the authorities…..look at him does he look Mexican to you?

          • avatar

            and even if he did do you think it would right an illegal be beaten up like this?……NO

          • avatar

            I wonder how many more US civilians. tourists and especially illegals are being beaten and not notified…………that is why we need the ACLU….nobody else is talking about it…WHY?….you should go there and be roughen up then tell me how you feel about it….

        • avatar

          SWE,,,,,,,,the ACLU is also doing this

          The CEO of the arts and crafts chain Hobby Lobby is trying to block access to contraception for his 13,000 employees.

          it is your organization as well……….

        • avatar

          The ACLU is our nation’s guardian of liberty, working daily in courts, legislatures and communities to defend and preserve the individual rights and liberties that the Constitution and laws of the United States guarantee everyone in this country.

        • avatar

          SWE the border patrol Academy and background check have lowered is standards……..and as a consequence citizens and canadians are being abused….cases where after 3 years they take a border patro officer and arrest him because had felonies…..guess what the ACLU is after them

          Two weeks ago, the Department of Justice settled an ACLU lawsuit over roving Border Patrol practices in Washington’s Olympic Peninsula.

          Customs and Border Protection didn’t admit any wrongdoing, but under the settlement, it agreed to train agents at the Port Angeles, Wash., station on how to abide by Fourth Amendment protections against illegal searches and seizures.

  3. avatar

    Republicans are never going to get the Latino vote. They need to stop alienating women over things like birth control, when women are half the vote. Having the government or insurance companies pay for birth control is the smartest most cost effective thing you can do. I just don’t get it. Pay for birth control or pay for the living costs of unwanted children. You don’t have to be a rocket scientist to figure out which is far far cheaper. The GOP also needs to stop their never ending crusade to pull out the crying towel over the 1%. Those people are doing fine. Their share of the pie is the biggest it’s ever been. Say what you want but trickle down just got most of the working class trickled on.

    • avatar
      arnlof sweigeir on

      Leland u f wrong…….there are Latinos that have been Republicans….and sure once immigration reform passes some or the .majority will got either Republicans or Democrats….the .masses do not remember…..

    • avatar

      So True Leland

      I’m an old fashion “real liberal” against overpopulation/amnesty and although I have non-partisan ethical /personal believes against abortion(s), I certainly support birth control in today’s horrible economy for the Millenials [they simply can’t afford kids]. The abortion rate(s) go way down too, when birth control is made readily accessible.

    • avatar
      arnlof sweigeir on

      Plus…the majority of the welfare demographics r our own people……and if any IAS……they learned from our own how to lie and get it…

      • avatar


        Another “Mother Goose” tale the open border pundits like to use.

        Legal American families paid into the Social Security “New Deal” mostly over many legal generations of their families….some turned out mentally retarded and moderately autistic [unable to work], some got old and frail….they had a financial stake in the Medicaid insurance as legal citizens, just like you can use Allstate to fix your car IF YOU PAID YOUR PREMIUMS as a legal entity. They deserve the social welfare.

        You compare freeloading illegal immigrants to them? You’re totally wrong.