{"id":2123,"date":"2012-12-11T18:15:45","date_gmt":"2012-12-11T23:15:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/live-immigrationreform.pantheonsite.io\/?p=2123"},"modified":"2016-02-23T13:48:07","modified_gmt":"2016-02-23T18:48:07","slug":"maybe-obama-is-right-republicans-have-a-problem-with-simple-math","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/2012\/12\/11\/maybe-obama-is-right-republicans-have-a-problem-with-simple-math\/","title":{"rendered":"Maybe Obama Is Right; Republicans Have a Problem with Simple Math"},"content":{"rendered":"

The political \u201cexperts\u201d and their media drones have been telling us since November 7 that President Obama won the election because, and only because, he won the Hispanic vote by a large margin.\u00a0 As usual, what passes for intelligent analysis inside the Beltway has a tenuous (at best) association with reality.\u00a0 Seeing the Republicans fall all over themselves to introduce immigration \u201creform\u201d measures should alleviate any doubt that their agenda would have been any different if Romney had won.\u00a0 The \u201cwe have to change our tone to attract Hispanic voters\u201d argument is being used as convenient cover for what has been the \u201clet\u2019s cave on amnesty and raise immigration levels\u201d plan that was in the works all along.\u00a0 They must be hoping that no one looks at the actual poll results and realizes that Romney lost not because he underperformed with Hispanic voters but because he couldn\u2019t turn out his base<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Some are paying attention, and it\u2019s not just us at FAIR.\u00a0 Jamelle Bouie pointed out in The Washington Post<\/em> last week that \u201cNo, more Latino votes wouldn\u2019t have helped Romney win<\/a>.\u201d\u00a0 According to Bouie\u2019s calculations, Romney would have had to have received 63 percent of the Hispanic vote (4.5 million additional votes) in order to best Obama in the popular vote.\u00a0 It is extremely unlikely that any position Romney took on immigration could have changed that many minds, especially considering that in numerous polls Latino voters ranked immigration far down their list of priorities. <\/p>\n

But because many Hispanic voters voted in states that weren\u2019t competitive, Bouie looked at Ohio and Virginia, two states Romney needed to take the White House.\u00a0 In those two states, Romney would have had to have won \u201cthe overwhelming majority of Latino voters, upwards of 90 percent, in order to overtake the president\u201d because the share of the Hispanic vote in Ohio and Virginia is small.\u00a0 The notion that Romney lost the race because Hispanic voters turned against him over his immigration policy (which was what really?) is just plain silly.<\/p>\n

Endorsing amnesty will not attract Hispanic voters<\/a> to the Republican Party in the short-term, but it will create more Democratic voters in the long-term, if we pay credence to history<\/a> and current<\/a> voting trends.\u00a0 It would also alienate the Republican base even more.\u00a0 This approach, not surprisingly, is the exact strategy that Democrats (out of the kindness of their hearts, of course) are suggesting the Republicans adopt.\u00a0 If this is a winning recipe for the Republican Party, then maybe Karl Rove<\/a> is a genius after all, because it seems daft to us regular folk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The political \u201cexperts\u201d and their media drones have been telling us since November 7 that President Obama won the election because, and only because, he won the Hispanic vote by a large margin.\u00a0 As usual, what passes for intelligent analysis inside the Beltway has a tenuous (at best) association with reality.\u00a0 Seeing the Republicans fall<\/p>\n

Read More<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[5,1513,11,6,4,10,7],"tags":[166,626],"yst_prominent_words":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2123"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/26"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2123"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2123\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2192,"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2123\/revisions\/2192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2123"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2123"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2123"},{"taxonomy":"yst_prominent_words","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.immigrationreform.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/yst_prominent_words?post=2123"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}